Perspective

What Happens to the Non-AI Companies

By Kyle Harrison

Updated

November 9, 2024

Reading Time

3 min

Artificial intelligence has received the lion’s share of venture investors’ attention and capital since OpenAI launched ChatGPT in November 2022. Considering the following data points:

75% of the startups in YCombinator’s Summer 2024 cohort (156 out of 208) were working on AI-related products.

In Q2 2024, 49% of all venture capital went to artificial intelligence and machine learning startups, up from 29% in Q2 2022.

In 2020, the median pre-money valuation for early-stage AI, SaaS, and fintech companies was $25 million, $27 million, and $28 million, respectively. In 2024, those figures are $70 million, $46 million, and $50 million.

OpenAI, which was unprofitable and on pace to generate $4 billion in annual revenue, was able to raise new capital at a $157 billion valuation in October 2024 (implying a 39x revenue multiple).

However, even though the spotlight currently rests on model companies like OpenAI and Anthropic, and AI-native companies like search engine Perplexity and transcription tool Descript, the number of “non-AI” companies that will be impacted by artificial intelligence far outnumbers companies whose core business is AI-focused. We collectively refer to the impact of artificial intelligence on these other companies as “the long tail of AI.”

The ways that companies within this long tail have used AI are as diverse as the companies themselves. For example, did you know that Walmart has developed its own AI models to improve the customer shopping experience? Or that Boston Consulting Group gave all of its employees access to ChatGPT after seeing that the chatbot gave consultants a 40% performance boost on creative tasks?

To explore how non-AI companies are integrating AI, we put together a deep dive that we published this week on The Long Tail of AI. Because AI is developing and changing so quickly, we created a four-piece framework that categorizes different AI integration strategies based on their resource intensity:

Building an independent, proprietary model: this is the most resource-intensive way to leverage artificial intelligence and is generally reserved for companies that have large, novel data sources from which they can derive unique insights and the human and financial capital needed to train a new model from scratch.

Leveraging proprietary closed-source models: building on closed-source models such as OpenAI’s GPT models or Anthropic’s Claude, which are easy to access via API, have been trained on billions of parameters, and can generate accurate, detailed outputs across a variety of fields, from coding to customer service.

Open-source models: Models like Mistral or Meta’s Llama, are also powerful tools, with Llama 3.1 being trained on 405 billion parameters. Unlike closed-source LLMs, however, open-source models provide companies with increased transparency and flexibility, as model weights can be adjusted to meet specific customer needs.

Third-party AI tools, such as ChatGPT, are the easiest to integrate as customers can simply pay to use a fully developed tool instead of investing in building or adjusting models internally.

Today’s deep dive uses lessons and examples from 14 companies, from retail giant Walmart to private browser startup Brave, to explore how different businesses are thinking about their AI integration strategies today. For more on this, read our full breakdown of how non-AI companies are using AI.

Important Disclosures

This material has been distributed solely for informational and educational purposes only and is not a solicitation or an offer to buy any security or to participate in any trading strategy. All material presented is compiled from sources believed to be reliable, but accuracy, adequacy, or completeness cannot be guaranteed, and Contrary LLC (Contrary LLC, together with its affiliates, “Contrary”) makes no representation as to its accuracy, adequacy, or completeness.

The information herein is based on Contrary beliefs, as well as certain assumptions regarding future events based on information available to Contrary on a formal and informal basis as of the date of this publication. The material may include projections or other forward-looking statements regarding future events, targets or expectations. Past performance of a company is no guarantee of future results. There is no guarantee that any opinions, forecasts, projections, risk assumptions, or commentary discussed herein will be realized. Actual experience may not reflect all of these opinions, forecasts, projections, risk assumptions, or commentary.

Contrary shall have no responsibility for: (i) determining that any opinions, forecasts, projections, risk assumptions, or commentary discussed herein is suitable for any particular reader; (ii) monitoring whether any opinions, forecasts, projections, risk assumptions, or commentary discussed herein continues to be suitable for any reader; or (iii) tailoring any opinions, forecasts, projections, risk assumptions, or commentary discussed herein to any particular reader’s objectives, guidelines, or restrictions. Receipt of this material does not, by itself, imply that Contrary has an advisory agreement, oral or otherwise, with any reader.

Contrary is registered with the Securities and Exchange Commission as an investment adviser under the Investment Advisers Act of 1940. The registration of Contrary in no way implies a certain level of skill or expertise or that the SEC has endorsed Contrary. Investment decisions for Contrary clients are made by Contrary. Please note that, although Contrary manages assets on behalf of Contrary clients, Contrary clients may take any position (whether positive or negative) with respect to the company described in this material. The information provided in this material does not represent any investment strategy that Contrary manages on behalf of, or recommends to, its clients.

Different types of investments involve varying degrees of risk, and there can be no assurance that the future performance of any specific investment, investment strategy, company or product made reference to directly or indirectly in this material, will be profitable, equal any corresponding indicated performance level(s), or be suitable for your portfolio. Due to rapidly changing market conditions and the complexity of investment decisions, supplemental information and other sources may be required to make informed investment decisions based on your individual investment objectives and suitability specifications. All expressions of opinions are subject to change without notice. Investors should seek financial advice regarding the appropriateness of investing in any security of the company discussed in this presentation.

Please see www.contrary.com/legal for additional important information.

Authors

Kyle Harrison

General Partner @ Contrary

Kyle leads Contrary’s investing efforts for companies from seed to scale. He’s previously worked at firms like Index and Coatue investing in companies like Databricks, Snowflake, Snyk, Plaid, Toast, and Persona.

See articles

© 2026 Contrary Research · All rights reserved

Privacy Policy

By navigating this website you agree to our privacy policy.